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When there are
two cards to come, you will also be exposed to "redraws."
If you improve to the best hand on the turn, your opponents will
rarely be drawing dead. There is usually some chance that you
will be outdrawn on the river. While the possible presence of
redraws devalues any draw on the flop, some draws are much more
sensitive to redraws than others.
your draw is not very sensitive to redraws. Assuming that you
are currently behind, you have five outs to improve to the best
hand. No matter which of your five cards comes on fourth street,
Contrast that to 8•7• on a flop of 9'V7+2V. The same ca; As improve
your hand, but you are now much more vulnerable sc, redraws. For
instance, if you improve by catching the 8•, anyone holding a
ten, six, or heart will have a draw to beat you. Even if you catch
a third seven, someone who flopped a straight or flush draw will
sometimes draw out on you. With two or three opponents there is
a large chance that, even if you improve, you will still lose.
Redraws also strongly affect
the value of a straight or flush draw with over cards. Compare
K4Q• on a Tr942• flop to 9•84 on a 6'W5+24 flop. In both hands
you hold a gut shot draw to the nuts and two over cards. Nevertheless,
the king-queen hand is significantly stronger. If you spike a
pair with the king-queen, only an ace can make someone a bigger
pair on the river. With the nine-eight, there are five over cards
that can beat you. In addition, a four or three may make someone
a straight. You should play hands that are very vulnerable to
redraws cautiously.
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